• 研究生：江品瑤
• 論文名稱：以新年講話稿析論兩岸領導人治理重點差異(1997-2016)
• 指導教授：蔡明璋
• 關鍵詞：兩岸關係、新年講話、國家想像、世界體系理論、國家中心論、意識形態
• 論文中文摘要：

本文旨在瞭解，兩岸交流看似越來越熱絡頻密，但是兩岸卻沒有增加彼此瞭解，關係也沒有越來越好，臺灣政府如此在意對陸政策，大陸對臺灣的態度又是如何？關注重點也是兩岸政策嗎？為什麼同樣的一套說詞不同政黨的總統說出來，大陸的反應和態度不一樣？針此，以文獻資料分析法，綜整梳理我民選總統後這20年來，各任總統與同時期大陸國家主席的新年講話稿，對比呈現民主國家與集權共產政體領導人施政之異同，從而探討兩岸領導人執政關注重心和對國家未來發展的想像。
大陸對臺政策具延續性，不論對臺態度是硬是軟，手段與目的始終是「一國兩制」與統一，臺灣則因執政政黨的不同而改變，而且兩岸彼此的政策交集越來越少。對國民黨、民進黨和中國共產黨的統獨意識型態之刻板印象，以及臺灣內部「國家」和「社會」關係強弱的反轉，使得近20年的兩岸關係在緊張與和緩間循環擺盪，而臺灣經濟實力停滯不前，擔憂被邊緣化，大陸實力與國際地位卻節節攀升，反映大國小國的實力與國際現實差距的寫照。
研究發現，以「類別篇幅」比較，臺灣領導人執政重點放在內政，內容多著墨社會政治、宣告對象為國內民眾，大陸領導人多喜講國際世界，訴求重點為國家在世界扮演的角色、宣告對象為全世界；論述兩岸關係部分，臺灣領導人都比大陸要多，篇幅最多達三成五，大陸最高則不過占一成五，也不是年年都談；另由「關鍵辭頻率」分析，臺灣歷年來以兩岸類關鍵辭最多，大陸則以國際類關鍵辭居冠，顯示臺灣的領導人施政關注面趨向著重國內治理與兩岸關係，而大陸領導人則將重心放在國際參與，兩岸關係並非其執政首要處理事務。
因此可得知，兩岸領導人施政關注重心和對國家未來發展的想像明顯不同。臺灣關注經濟、社會和政治問題，而兩岸關係具特殊地位；領導人對國家未來發展的想像，從希望成為區域金融或營運中心，演變成只求不被邊陲化。大陸關注經濟和國際面向，兩岸關係只是內政事物中，關注度稍高的一項；領導人對國家未來發展的想像是回應國際社會對其大國角色的期待，並積極做出貢獻。

• 論文外文摘要：

Cross-strait exchanges seem to be more and more frequent in recent years. However, neither the relations have improved nor the understanding gets better between two sides. While Taiwan government takes seriously its “mainland policy”, does Beijing do the same about cross-strait relations? Why the same words told by ROC president from different parties gets different respond from China? This thesis, hereby, analyzes the New Year’s speeches of national leaders of China and Taiwan from 1997 to 2016 by using the content analysis method, with a research goal to compare major issues of governance. This research helps understand the focus of governance and the future orientation of the two states.
China’s Taiwan policy has strong persistence. No matter what the attitude she takes, the aim for the goal remain “One country, two systems”. In contrast, Taiwan’s mainland policy varied with the ruling parties. Moreover, both sides have less and less in common. The stereotype of the united ideology with KMT, DPP and CPC, as well as the reversal of the strength of the "state" and "social" relations within Taiwan, have made the cross-strait relations to swing between tension and ease in nearly 2 decades. Taiwan is worried about economic stagnation and political marginalization. The state capability and international status of China are gaining strength, reflecting the disparity of capability and international influence of a rising global power versus a small state.
The study found that: first, Taiwan’s leaders are focused on the internal affairs, and the declared objects of state policy are the domestic people, while China’s leaders are interested in the international affairs, and they look at the people around the world. Secondly, Taiwan’s leaders more frequently talked about cross-strait affairs than China’s leaders did. Third, the analysis of key words frequency shows that Taiwan’s leaders tend to say words about cross-strait affairs, and China’s leaders say more about international affairs. Thus, we conclude that leaders across the straits have very different worldviews. The mainland policy plays an very important role in Taiwan. On the contrary, China’s leaders are stepping in international realms and only look Taiwan as a part of its internal affairs.