• 研究生：鄭雅方
• 論文名稱：天有不測風雨，誰能自求多福？天然災害風險知覺與防備行為之研究
• 指導教授：蔡明璋
• 關鍵詞：天然災害防備行為、脆弱性、風險知覺、因應評估

• 台灣是天然災害襲擊的熱點，民眾天災防備行為卻未必積極。為探討影響民眾採取天然災害防備措施的因素，本文從個人的特徵、風險的特徵及防備的預期效果，觀察民眾平日的防備行為。以脆弱性、天然災害風險知覺及防備行為因應評估為自變項，天然災害防備措施的頻率為依變項，進行迴歸分析。其中脆弱性係指人口屬性及居住環境等社會經濟條件；風險知覺包括對天然災害風險的威脅評估及情感反應；因應評估則是對防備行為效果及自我效能的評估。研究採用台灣社會變遷基本調查2010年（六期一次）問卷Ⅱ環境組的次級資料，經SPSS統計軟體進行迴歸後的結果發現：多數的脆弱性因子，不會顯著影響弱勢群體的防災措施行為；僅有教育程度較低的人，可能因為災害認知不足，在防災措施行為較薄弱。在天然災害的風險知覺上，情感反應的作用大於威脅評估。對災害的擔心程度讓防災行為更積極。在防備行為的因應評估上，防災行為的減災效果，並未顯著影響防災措施頻率。
• Taiwan is one of the natural disaster hotspots. In this island society, however, the behaviors of people regarding their preventive actions against natural disasters have been understudied. To investigate the factors affecting natural disaster perception and prevention, this thesis analyzed the plausible influences of personal characteristics, characteristics of risk in resident communities and the expected effect of prevention. Using a national probability data from the Taiwan Social Change Survey collected in 2010, this study tested a model of natural risk prevention, with consideration of structural factors such as community vulnerabilities and frequency of natural disaster prevention. Vulnerability refers to a person’s socio-economic status and living environment conditions. The results from regression estimations show that the vulnerabilities factors does not have a significantly effect on disaster prevention. People with lower education, probably lacking knowledge of disasters, appeared to take less disaster preventive actions. In addition, an individual’s response efficacy did not significantly affect the frequency of disaster prevention.